[Header Photo by Jametlene Reskp on Unsplash]
Education pundits and education reformers (mostly never educators themselves) are some of the most arrogant people you’ll ever encounter.
This is odd because their grand announcements are invariably built on lies, but even more puzzling is that none of their claims and promises about their pet reforms ever work out.
Charter schools and school choice, teacher evaluation based on value-added methods, accountability schemes driven by (ever new) standards and (ever new) standardized tests—none of these have worked, and the evidence for that is quite obvious because we remain always in education crisis regardless of the reforms.
In fact, the real story behind education punditry and reform is that all of these folk profit from perpetual crisis and reform; they are not really invested in improving education or the lives and learning of children in the US.
Education punditry and reform in the US is an industry that relies on two lies—crisis and miracles.
Apropos for the Trump era, in fact, education punditry and reform depend on the Big Lies to promote their baseless attacks on education failure and to recycle their rhetoric as well as their reform plans (that, again, never work).
Jonathan Chait, ironically the author of The Big Con, has jumped on the false Mississippi “miracle” reading reform train as well as doubling down on one of the most offensive Big Lies:


This Big Lie is the “no excuses” lie that some people on the progressive left use poverty as an excuse; this is the George W. Bush “soft bigotry of low expectations” strawman.
The “no excuses” movement was primarily a part of the huge charter school movement popular under Obama, the charter school movement that, not surprisingly, joined the litany of ed reforms that did not work.
Here is the key detail: The “no excuses” rhetoric has been resurrected by the false Mississippi “miracle.” You see, if Mississippi has in fact produced a reading reform miracle, then the “poverty is an excuse” charge has been proven correct!
First, however, there is no one on the progressive left who believes poor children cannot learn or cannot be educated. And no one is arguing education reform cannot work.
The critical and progressive argument is actually evidence-based but possibly more complicated than the average pundit or reformer can understand.
The evidence is overwhelming that over 60% of measurable student achievement is causally related to factors outside the control of schools.
A 2024 study has once again proven this, and that schools alone cannot mitigate that powerful influence on learning:
Almost 63% of the variance in test performance was explained by social capital family income variables that influence the development of background knowledge. Background knowledge is a known predictor of standardized test results. Family income variables are immutable by schools. Only public policies, outside the control of school personnel, can influence family income.
That same research supports the actual argument from the progressive left: Accountability education reform grounded in standards and high-stake testing will not work, and has not worked since the early1980s:
The influence of family social capital variables manifests itself in standardized test results. Policy makers and education leaders should rethink the current reliance on standardized test results as the deciding factor to make decisions about student achievement, teacher quality, school effectiveness, and school leader quality. In effect, policies that use standardized test results to evaluate, reward, and sanction students and school personnel are doing nothing more than rewarding schools that serve advantaged students and punishing schools that serve disadvantaged students.
What we on the progressive and critical left are arguing is that education reform should be grounded in equity policy but it must also be supported by social reform. In short, evidence such as the Department of Defense schools’ success on NAEP show that when students have their healthcare, food, and housing secured, schools are more likely to be effective:



Next, Chait’s primary Big Lie is compounded by perpetuating the Mississippi “miracle” lie.
There is but one kernel of truth in the Mississippi “miracle” lie (and it is the only one the pundits and reformers mention). Like Florida, Mississippi has conjured exceptionally high grade 4 reading scores on NAEP.
However, two analyses [1] have shown that that score increase appears to be the result of grade retention and not instructional, teacher, or program reforms. Both MS and FL have seen their outlier grade 4 reading scores drop into the bottom 25% of state scores by grade 8, suggesting the grade 4 scores are the product of corrupting the pool of students tested through grade retention and not genuine increases in reading proficiency. Again contrast MS and FL with DoDEA schools in grade 8 (top image is the top performing states and bottom image is the bottom performing states):


The Mississippi story has two additional problems.
Mississippi has the same race and poverty achievement gap in grade 4 reading as the state did in 1998:

And possibly the most damning and ugliest problems with the Mississippi “miracle” lie is that the state has not seen a decrease in the number of students retained (who are disproportionately Black and poor); if their reform was working, this number should be near zero:
- 2014-2015 – 3064 (grade 3) – 12,224 K-3 retained/ 32.2% proficiency
- 2015-2016 – 2307 (grade 3) – 11,310 K-3 retained/ 32.3% proficiency
- 2016-2017 – 1505 (grade 3) – 9834 K-3 retained / 36.1 % proficiency
- 2017-2018 – 1285 (grade 3) – 8902 K-3 retained / 44.7% proficiency
- 2018-2019 – 3379 (grade 3) – 11,034 K-3 retained / 48.3% proficiency
- 2021-2022 – 2958 (grade 3) – 10,388 K-3 retained / 46.4% proficiency
- 2022-2023 – 2287 (grade 3) – 9,525 K-3 retained/ 51.6% proficiency
- 2023-2024 – 2033 (grade 3) – 9,121 K-3 retained/ 57.7% proficiency
- 2024-2025 – 2132 (grade 3) – 9250 K-3 retained/ 49.4% proficiency [2]
The truth exposed by the Big Lies of education pundits and reformers is that they are not interested in evidence or improving the lives and education of children.
There is more profit in the Big Lies and maintaining a perpetual state of education crisis and reform; you see, maintaining The Big Con.
[1] See On education miracles in general (and those in Mississippi in particular) and The Effects of Early Literacy Policies on Student Achievement.
[2] Not that, in fact, recent data show retention increased and proficiency decreased in the past two years.






















